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WINTER BLASTS CONSTRUCTION JOB REPORT, AGC ECONOMIST SAYS

March 9, 2007

Washington, D.C.—“Calendar and climate quirks combined to chill construction employment in February, but nonresidential segments should rebound this month,” Ken Simonson, chief economist for The Associated General Contractors of America (AGC), said today. Simonson was commenting on the February employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

“In February, construction employment tumbled by 62,000, seasonally adjusted—the largest one-month slide since 1991,” Simonson observed. “Weather anomalies deserve some of the blame, along with the housing slowdown.

“Employment estimates are based on the payroll period that includes the 12th day of each month,” Simonson explained. “In February, that included a week in which ice storms blanketed much of the U.S., whereas in January, the 12th was the end of an exceptionally balmy week. As a result, some contractors may have started jobs in January that normally would not have been done until later. Conversely, hiring may have been postponed in mid-February.

“Aside from these anomalies, there are two reasons to think that nonresidential construction will resume adding jobs soon,” Simonson commented. “First, architects and engineers, whose work gets turned into construction within months, added workers for the 36th straight month. A/E employment has risen nearly five percent in the past 12 months. I expect their handiwork to show up in refinery, power plant, manufacturing, hotel and hospital construction spending over the next several months.

“Second, nonresidential construction categories themselves have been growing, aside from the February hiccup,” Simonson pointed out. “From February 2006 to February 2007, combined employment in nonresidential building, nonresidential specialty trades and heavy and civil engineering construction increased by 115,000 or 2.7 percent, nearly double the 1.5 percent rise in total nonfarm payroll employment. Meanwhile, Census Bureau data show that nonresidential construction spending is on a tear—up 15 percent in January compared to January 2006.

“I remain very confident that the nonresidential construction industry will be healthy right through 2007, and probably beyond,” Simonson concluded.

NOTE: A podcast discussing the latest construction jobs and spending trends will be available at www.agc.org/podcast.

The Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) is the largest and oldest national construction trade association in the United States. AGC represents more than 32,000 firms, including 7,000 of America’s leading general contractors, and over 11,000 specialty-contracting firms. More than 13,000 service providers and suppliers are associated with AGC through a nationwide network of chapters. Visit the AGC Web site at www.agc.org. AGC members are "Building Your Quality of Life.”

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